KK vs AQs: all-in odds before the flop
Preflop
All-in before the flop, KK wins 67.7% of the time and AQs 31.9%; the pot is split 0.39% of the time.
- 67.9%KK equity
- 32.1%AQs equity
- 2.1 to 1odds against AQs
- 1,712,304boards dealt, every one
The Head-to-Head Edge
King pair holds a distinct advantage over ace-queen suited when both players go all-in before the flop. As the key figures show, the pair wins the majority of possible boards. The table below breaks down the exact distribution of outcomes for this specific matchup. King pair takes the pot outright in most cases, while ace-queen suited wins less frequently. Splits are rare but possible. This edge exists because the pair starts with a higher card value than the ace-queen combination, assuming no immediate pair on the board. The advantage is structural, not random. If gambling stops being fun, free help is available via support resources.
| Hand | Wins | Splits | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| K♣K♦ | 67.7% | 0.39% | 67.9% |
| A♠Q♠ | 31.9% | 0.39% | 32.1% |
Why the Pair Leads
The pair of kings begins with two cards of equal rank, creating a strong baseline. Ace-queen suited relies on high cards but lacks the paired strength initially. Kings only need one more king to make three of a kind, a very strong hand. Ace-queen needs an ace or queen to pair, or a straight or flush to compete. Because the pair starts ahead, it holds that lead unless the underdog catches a specific improvement. The suited nature of ace-queen adds a small chance for a flush, but the pair’s inherent strength remains dominant across most random boards.
Underdog Opportunities
Ace-queen suited is not hopeless. It wins outright in a significant minority of cases. The odds against it, shown in the key figures, reflect that it is the underdog but not a distant one. It wins when it pairs its ace or queen, makes a straight, or completes a flush. These outcomes happen often enough to matter. The pair of kings loses when the board pairs the ace or queen, or when the suited cards connect for a flush or straight. The underdog’s equity is substantial, proving it is a viable hand against the pair.
Role of Suits
Suits matter for ace-queen suited because they create flush possibilities. If the board has three spades, ace-queen can win with a flush. King pair, being mixed suits, relies on pairs and sets. The suited advantage helps the underdog close the gap slightly compared to unsuited versions. However, the pair’s strength from matching ranks outweighs the flush potential in most scenarios. The figures account for all suit combinations. The split pot rate is low, indicating that ties are uncommon. Each hand’s specific cards define its path to victory, with suits offering a secondary route for the ace-queen combo.
Questions
Why does king pair beat ace-queen suited?
King pair starts with two cards of equal rank, giving it a higher baseline value. Ace-queen suited needs specific board cards to overtake it. The pair wins most boards by holding its initial advantage.
How often does ace-queen suited win?
Ace-queen suited wins outright in about a third of cases. It succeeds by pairing its ace or queen, making a straight, or completing a flush. The odds against it are roughly two to one.
Do suits change the outcome?
Yes. Suited ace-queen has extra chances via flushes. This improves its equity slightly compared to unsuited versions. However, king pair’s paired strength remains superior on most boards.
Are these odds for all hands?
No. These figures apply strictly to king of clubs, king of diamonds, ace of spades, and queen of spades. Other combinations have different equities. The calculation covers all possible boards for these specific cards.
Every figure on this page is computed by code from a standard 52-card deck, counting every possible card and checking the count a second way. See the methodology.