Outs ak règ 2 ak 4
Yon out se yon kat ki toujou nan dek la ki ta ba ou pi bon men an. Konte outs ou yo, epi chans pou jwenn youn nan yo soti nan yon kontaj senp. Règ 2 ak 4 se yon fason rapid pou fè kontaj sa a nan tèt ou; men kijan li pwoche vre.
Konte outs
- Tirage couleur: 9 outs. Kat kat nan yon menm koulè ant men ou ak board la kite 9 sou 13 nan dek la.
- Tirage quinte ouvert: 8 outs. Kat kat nan yon seri, tankou 7-8-9-10, konplete ak nenpòt nan kat kat yo nan nenpòt bout.
- Tirage quinte ventral: 4 outs. Sèlman yon ranpli espas la, tankou ak 7-8-10-J ki bezwen yon 9.
- Tirage couleur ak tirage quinte ouvert: 15 outs, pa 17. De nan kat quinte yo se tou kat couleur; konte yo yon fè sèlman.
- De overcards: 6 outs pou fè yon pè ak youn ladan yo, si yon pè ak youn nan yo ta sifi pou genyen.
- Paire en mwen vin yon brelan: 2 outs. Sèlman de kat ki rete nan ran ou.
Konte sèlman kat ki fè ou genyen. Si yon kat couleur fè board la gen yon pè tou epi bay yon lòt moun yon full house, se yon out "sal": retire l nan kont ou.
Chans egzak la
Apre flop la, gen 47 kat ki pa wè: 52 mwens de pa ou ak twa sou board la. Kat nan men lòt jwè yo ak kat boule yo pa wè tou, konsa yo konte kòm enkoni, pa kòm mouri. Ak yon sèl kat pou vin, chans ou se outs divize pa 47 sou turn lan, oswa pa 46 sou river la. Ak de kat pou vin, se yon mwens chans ke de yo manke.
| Outs | Turn (yon kat) | River (yon kat) | Turn oswa river (de kat) | Odds kont, de kart |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 22.5 pou 1 |
| 2 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 10.9 pou 1 |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 7.0 pou 1 |
| 4 | 8.5% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 5.1 pou 1 |
| 5 | 10.6% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 3.9 pou 1 |
| 6 | 12.8% | 13.0% | 24.1% | 3.1 pou 1 |
| 7 | 14.9% | 15.2% | 27.8% | 2.6 pou 1 |
| 8 | 17.0% | 17.4% | 31.5% | 2.2 pou 1 |
| 9 | 19.1% | 19.6% | 35.0% | 1.9 pou 1 |
| 10 | 21.3% | 21.7% | 38.4% | 1.6 pou 1 |
| 11 | 23.4% | 23.9% | 41.7% | 1.4 pou 1 |
| 12 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 45.0% | 1.2 pou 1 |
| 13 | 27.7% | 28.3% | 48.1% | 1.1 pou 1 |
| 14 | 29.8% | 30.4% | 51.2% | 1.0 pou 1 |
| 15 | 31.9% | 32.6% | 54.1% | 0.8 pou 1 |
| 16 | 34.0% | 34.8% | 57.0% | 0.8 pou 1 |
| 17 | 36.2% | 37.0% | 59.8% | 0.7 pou 1 |
| 18 | 38.3% | 39.1% | 62.4% | 0.6 pou 1 |
| 19 | 40.4% | 41.3% | 65.0% | 0.5 pou 1 |
| 20 | 42.6% | 43.5% | 67.5% | 0.5 pou 1 |
| 21 | 44.7% | 45.7% | 69.9% | 0.4 pou 1 |
Règ 2 ak 4
Rakoursi a: ak yon sèl kat pou vin, miltipliye outs ou pa 2; ak de kat pou vin, miltipliye pa 4. Li mache paske chak kat ki pa wè se yon ti kras plis pase 2% nan dek la. Men li konpare ak chif egzak yo:
| Outs | Règ 2 | Egzak, yon kat | Règ 4 | Egzak, de kat | Règ 4 mwens egzak, an pwen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 2.1% | 4% | 4.3% | −0.3 |
| 2 | 4% | 4.3% | 8% | 8.4% | −0.4 |
| 3 | 6% | 6.4% | 12% | 12.5% | −0.5 |
| 4 | 8% | 8.5% | 16% | 16.5% | −0.5 |
| 5 | 10% | 10.6% | 20% | 20.4% | −0.4 |
| 6 | 12% | 12.8% | 24% | 24.1% | −0.1 |
| 7 | 14% | 14.9% | 28% | 27.8% | +0.2 |
| 8 | 16% | 17.0% | 32% | 31.5% | +0.5 |
| 9 | 18% | 19.1% | 36% | 35.0% | +1.0 |
| 10 | 20% | 21.3% | 40% | 38.4% | +1.6 |
| 11 | 22% | 23.4% | 44% | 41.7% | +2.3 |
| 12 | 24% | 25.5% | 48% | 45.0% | +3.0 |
| 13 | 26% | 27.7% | 52% | 48.1% | +3.9 |
| 14 | 28% | 29.8% | 56% | 51.2% | +4.8 |
| 15 | 30% | 31.9% | 60% | 54.1% | +5.9 |
| 16 | 32% | 34.0% | 64% | 57.0% | +7.0 |
| 17 | 34% | 36.2% | 68% | 59.8% | +8.2 |
| 18 | 36% | 38.3% | 72% | 62.4% | +9.6 |
| 19 | 38% | 40.4% | 76% | 65.0% | +11.0 |
| 20 | 40% | 42.6% | 80% | 67.5% | +12.5 |
| 21 | 42% | 44.7% | 84% | 69.9% | +14.1 |
Ak yon sèl kat pou vin, règ 2 toujou sous-estimé chans ou yon ti kras: mwens pase yon pwen jiska 7 outs, apeprè 2 pwen ak 15. Ak de kat, règ 4 la pwoche pou ti tiraj epi li sipè-estimé gwo yo depi 7 outs, paske vrè chans lan grandi pi dousman pase yon liy dwat: ak anpil outs, de kat yo souvan se outs, epi ou ka frape sèlman yon fè. Ak 15 outs, règ la di 60%, chans egzak la se 54.1%. Yon korijej komen se "miltipliye pa 4, epi retire kantite outs ki pi wo pase 8".
Yon tiraj ki fasil pou fè erè: yon brelan
Ak yon brelan sou yon flop ki gen twa rank diferan, ou gen 7 outs pou amelyore nan yon full house oswa kat menm bagay la sou turn nan: dènye kat nan rank ou a, ak twa kat pou parye chak nan de lòt kat yo sou board la. Li tantatif pou itilize figi de-kat pou 7 outs, 27.8%. Figi reyèl la pi wo, 33.4%, paske apre yon turn ki pa chanje anyen, ou gen 10 outs sou river la: twa kat yo ki parye kat turn nan ba ou tou yon full house. Nou te verifye sa pa distribye chak turn ak river.
Mete l an aplikasyon
Chans ou pou touche a enpòtan sèlman konpare ak pri pou kontinye. Itilize kalkilatè outs ak odds du pot pou konpare yo, epi li eksplikasyon odds du pot pou konnen kijan yo kalkile pri a.